Mr. Redlegs is watching you. Always.

Sunday, July 31, 2011

Projecting the final two months

When I projected based on current home/road records and how many remaining games of those types, then projected based on current .500+/under .500 records and how many remaining games of those types, and averaged the projections, this was the result for the final standings.

Milwaukee: 89 wins
St. Louis: 84 wins
Pittsburgh: 82.5 wins
Cincinnati: 81.5 wins

In other words, not too much different from now. By the end of the season (assuming the same teams stay above and below .500) the teams will have played the following number of games against teams with winning records:

Milwaukee: 76
St. Louis: 75
Pittsburgh: 75
Cincinnati: 95

So really, the rest of the way isn't going to balance things out enough for us.

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