Even including players from the 19th century, the names "Brandon Phillips" and "Bronson Arroyo" appear high on the lists for virtually all the main cumulative stats among Reds hitters and pitchers, respectively.
Close behind them, and sure to eventually overtake them in a lot of categories: Joey Votto and Johnny Cueto.
Here are all the major cumulative rankings for active players among all-time Reds hitters and pitchers:
Home Runs (all-time leader: Bench)
16th - Phillips
17th - Bruce
T-18th - Votto
Hits (all-time leader: Rose)
T-21st - Phillips
47th - Votto
Doubles (all-time leader: Rose)
20th - Phillips
23rd - Votto
RBI (all-time leader: Bench)
25th - Phillips
32nd - Votto
49th - Bruce
Stolen bases (all-time leader: McPhee)
25th - Phillips
42nd - Stubbs
Games started (all-time leader: Rixey)
12th - Arroyo
33rd - Cueto
47th - Bailey
Innings pitched (all-time leader: Rixey)
24th - Arroyo
47th - Cueto
Wins (all-time leader: Rixey)
T-22nd - Arroyo
T-39th - Cueto
Strikeouts (all-time leader: Maloney)
12th - Arroyo
22nd - Cueto
36th - Bailey
Mr. Redlegs is watching you. Always.
Wednesday, September 26, 2012
Friday, September 21, 2012
Can Joey Votto still win the batting title?
The answer is yes, but it would be extremely difficult thanks to the minimum of 502 plate appearances. With Melky Cabrera now disqualified, Votto's chances have improved.
Currently, Votto has 426 PAs. If you finish with less than 502, you can still win the batting title as long as the addition of the necessary PAs, in the form of hitless at-bats, still gives you a high enough average. This is according to MLB rule 10.22(a).
So let's calculate his current "effective" average.
Joey has 116 hits in 339 at-bats, for a true average of .342 (behind only the now-disqualified Melky Cabrera)
However, you have to currently add 76 imaginary, hitless at-bats (to bring him from 426 to 502 PAs).
So Votto's "effective" average is only .280 (116 hits in 415 ABs).
For the remainder of the season, two things can help him dramatically raise that effective average:
- HITS (obviously)
- BB, HBP, SF, etc... (any PA that doesn't count as an AB)
Hits will help improve the numerator of his "effective" average, which currently sits at 116.
The non-AB PAs will help reduce, thereby improving, the denominator which is currently 415.
So now we can discuss the sort of average Joey might finish with. There are only 12 games remaining. We might expect him to perform roughly the same way he has over the past 12 games (keeping in mind that he likely won't even play in a couple of them, and certainly won't START all 12).
If Votto matches his production from the previous 12, he would accumulate 12 more hits and 14 more PAs which do not count as ABs.
Add the 12 hits to the current 116 = 128
Subtract the 14 non-AB PAs from the current 415 effective ABs = 401
Divide 128 by 401...
The effective average would be .319 - very good, but almost certainly not good enough to beat McCutchen (sitting at .339) or Posey (.335).
Let's say JDV really goes crazy and gets 18 hits and the same 14 non-AB PAs over the final 12 games.
Add the 18 to the current 116 hits = 134
Subtract the 14 non-AB PAs from the current 415 effective ABs = 401
134/401 = .334, which would definitely put him in contention.
So in conclusion...there is still a possibility, but it's a very slim possibility. And I think we'd all rather have a healthy Joey in the playoffs than worry about him pushing for personal distinction. Stand-up guy that he is, Votto would be the first to agree.
Currently, Votto has 426 PAs. If you finish with less than 502, you can still win the batting title as long as the addition of the necessary PAs, in the form of hitless at-bats, still gives you a high enough average. This is according to MLB rule 10.22(a).
So let's calculate his current "effective" average.
Joey has 116 hits in 339 at-bats, for a true average of .342 (behind only the now-disqualified Melky Cabrera)
However, you have to currently add 76 imaginary, hitless at-bats (to bring him from 426 to 502 PAs).
So Votto's "effective" average is only .280 (116 hits in 415 ABs).
For the remainder of the season, two things can help him dramatically raise that effective average:
- HITS (obviously)
- BB, HBP, SF, etc... (any PA that doesn't count as an AB)
Hits will help improve the numerator of his "effective" average, which currently sits at 116.
The non-AB PAs will help reduce, thereby improving, the denominator which is currently 415.
So now we can discuss the sort of average Joey might finish with. There are only 12 games remaining. We might expect him to perform roughly the same way he has over the past 12 games (keeping in mind that he likely won't even play in a couple of them, and certainly won't START all 12).
If Votto matches his production from the previous 12, he would accumulate 12 more hits and 14 more PAs which do not count as ABs.
Add the 12 hits to the current 116 = 128
Subtract the 14 non-AB PAs from the current 415 effective ABs = 401
Divide 128 by 401...
The effective average would be .319 - very good, but almost certainly not good enough to beat McCutchen (sitting at .339) or Posey (.335).
Let's say JDV really goes crazy and gets 18 hits and the same 14 non-AB PAs over the final 12 games.
Add the 18 to the current 116 hits = 134
Subtract the 14 non-AB PAs from the current 415 effective ABs = 401
134/401 = .334, which would definitely put him in contention.
So in conclusion...there is still a possibility, but it's a very slim possibility. And I think we'd all rather have a healthy Joey in the playoffs than worry about him pushing for personal distinction. Stand-up guy that he is, Votto would be the first to agree.
Saturday, September 1, 2012
Cincinnati Reds: August 2012 Summary
The Reds went 19-11 in August, which was their second-best mark of 2012 (behind the 19-7 record in July). They now sit at 81-52, with the most wins in all of baseball and only a slightly worse winning percentage than the Washington Nationals. Because both Pittsburgh and St. Louis struggled a bit, they both fell farther behind in the NL Central. The Reds' lead over Pittsburgh expanded from 3 to 10 games, and their lead over St. Louis from 7 to 9.5 games.
Cincinnati played 8 complete series in August, winning 5 (one sweep at Arizona), losing 2 (one sweep at Milwaukee) and splitting 1 (at Philadelphia). At the start of the month, they also finished off a winning series at home against San Diego with two wins. At the end of the month, they won the first game of a series in Houston.
**The Reds already have six different winning streaks of 5+ games this season, and could make it seven with a win on September 1st**
Home record: 10-5 (4-1 to finish their first stand, 5-2 in the second, then lost a series against St. Louis)
Road record: 9-6 (3-4 in the Milwaukee/Chicago trip, 2-2 in Philly, 4-0 so far in Arizona/Houston)
vs East: 4-3
vs Central: 10-8 (a little disappointing)
vs West: 5-0
Overall offensive trends: The offense continued its successful summer, in fact posting its best batting average of the year (.272) in spite of missing Votto for the entire month. Ludwick, Rolen and Frazier continues to star. Bruce stepped up after a mediocre July. Heisey has emerged as a possible hope in CF after Stubbs returned to poor form after his deceiving pre-deadline surge. The team also slugged an impressive 38 HR in 30 games, with Ludwick and Bruce providing 7 each.
Overall pitching trends: The staff actually had its worst month of the year as a whole, but the numbers were still fairly good, which goes to show how much improvement the organization has had since recent years. Both the starters (3.96 ERA) and relievers (3.31 ERA) had their worst marks. There were still some impressive individual performances, and they closed out the month with four straight solid outings on the road.
Individual hitting trends:
UP significantly from July (20 or more OPS+ points): Cairo +65, Hanigan +55, Bruce +50, Cozart +44, Frazier +30
DOWN significantly from July (20 or more OPS+ points): Paul -163, Mesoraco -96, Valdez -81, Stubbs -67, Ludwick -22
No significant change: Rolen, Heisey, Phillips (all had good months)....Votto (still injured)
New arrivals: Dioner Navarro had only 6 hits but two were key homers.
Individual pitching trends:
UP significantly from July: Latos, Simon, Leake, Arredondo
DOWN significantly from July: LeCure, Marshall, Bailey, Arroyo (only in terms of ERA), Ondrusek
No significant change: Chapman (still dominant), Cueto (still dominant)
New arrivals: Hoover was awesome in his return, trade acquisition Broxton has been pretty solid overall, and Redmond was shaky in his fill-in start
And finally, my "Randy Awards" for the month of August...
Cincinnati played 8 complete series in August, winning 5 (one sweep at Arizona), losing 2 (one sweep at Milwaukee) and splitting 1 (at Philadelphia). At the start of the month, they also finished off a winning series at home against San Diego with two wins. At the end of the month, they won the first game of a series in Houston.
**The Reds already have six different winning streaks of 5+ games this season, and could make it seven with a win on September 1st**
Home record: 10-5 (4-1 to finish their first stand, 5-2 in the second, then lost a series against St. Louis)
Road record: 9-6 (3-4 in the Milwaukee/Chicago trip, 2-2 in Philly, 4-0 so far in Arizona/Houston)
vs East: 4-3
vs Central: 10-8 (a little disappointing)
vs West: 5-0
Overall offensive trends: The offense continued its successful summer, in fact posting its best batting average of the year (.272) in spite of missing Votto for the entire month. Ludwick, Rolen and Frazier continues to star. Bruce stepped up after a mediocre July. Heisey has emerged as a possible hope in CF after Stubbs returned to poor form after his deceiving pre-deadline surge. The team also slugged an impressive 38 HR in 30 games, with Ludwick and Bruce providing 7 each.
Overall pitching trends: The staff actually had its worst month of the year as a whole, but the numbers were still fairly good, which goes to show how much improvement the organization has had since recent years. Both the starters (3.96 ERA) and relievers (3.31 ERA) had their worst marks. There were still some impressive individual performances, and they closed out the month with four straight solid outings on the road.
Individual hitting trends:
UP significantly from July (20 or more OPS+ points): Cairo +65, Hanigan +55, Bruce +50, Cozart +44, Frazier +30
DOWN significantly from July (20 or more OPS+ points): Paul -163, Mesoraco -96, Valdez -81, Stubbs -67, Ludwick -22
No significant change: Rolen, Heisey, Phillips (all had good months)....Votto (still injured)
New arrivals: Dioner Navarro had only 6 hits but two were key homers.
Individual pitching trends:
UP significantly from July: Latos, Simon, Leake, Arredondo
DOWN significantly from July: LeCure, Marshall, Bailey, Arroyo (only in terms of ERA), Ondrusek
No significant change: Chapman (still dominant), Cueto (still dominant)
New arrivals: Hoover was awesome in his return, trade acquisition Broxton has been pretty solid overall, and Redmond was shaky in his fill-in start
And finally, my "Randy Awards" for the month of August...
RANDY HITTER: Todd Frazier. The clear favorite for NL Rookie of the Year went .330/.393/.587 with 6 HR, 8 doubles and a team-leading 25 RBI.
Honorable mention: Ryan Ludwick, Jay Bruce
RANDY MOST IMPROVED HITTER: Ryan Hanigan. A guy with only 19 RBI on the year had 7 in August, including some very key hits (one of them a walk-off).
RANDY STARTER: Johnny Cueto. Our ace was awesome again...4-1, 2.76, 0.85 WHIP. 38 K and only 7 walks.
Honorable mention: Mat Latos had a 2.61 ERA and insufficient run support. Bronson Arroyo had 5 wins.
RANDY MOST IMPROVED STARTER: Mike Leake.
RANDY RELIEVER: Aroldis
Chapman, again. After a spotless July, allowed only one run in August. 0.68 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, 18 K and 2 walks in 13 IP. 11 for 11 in save opportunities.
RANDY MOST IMPROVED RELIEVER: Jose Arredondo. After a poor July, posted a 2.61 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in August to return to form.
RANDY NOOB: Dioner Navarro. Two key and unexpected homers.
RANDY SINGLE-GAME HITTING PERFORMANCE: Brandon Phillips. He hates the WLBs, and he gave a hell of a performance on August 25th in helping the Reds win at least one game of the home St. Louis series. BP went 3 for 5 with a homer and 2 important RBI in an 8-2 win.
RANDY SINGLE-GAME PITCHING PERFORMANCE: Mike Leake. When people looked at the Leake/Dickey matchup on August 15th, they probably didn't expect Leake to dominate it. But he did. In that 6-1 win, he tossed a complete game, allowing only 1 run and 4 hits. Leake struck out 4 and didn't walk a batter. Meanwhile, the Reds offense went yard multiple times off the knuckleballer in his support.
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