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Showing posts with label joe randa. Show all posts
Showing posts with label joe randa. Show all posts

Tuesday, April 7, 2015

Best Opening Day wins in Reds History

MOST DRAMATIC

1) 2011 - Beat the Brewers, 7-6.  They were down 6-3 heading into the bottom of the 9th after a lackluster start from Edinson Volquez.  At that point, the Reds had only a 4% chance of winning the game.  Then:

- Phillips singled (8%)
- Votto walked (17%)
- Rolen reached on a fielder's choice, everyone safe (31%)
- Bruce K'd (19%)
- Gomes SF, Phillips scored (9%)

And finally, Ramon Hernandez hit a game-winning homer off of closer John Axford with 2 on and 2 out.  It's pretty hard to top a play that adds 91% to your win expectancy.

2) 2005 - Beat the Mets, 7-6.  Cincinnati trailed 6-4 entering the bottom of the 9th.  Pedro Martinez and Paul Wilson both gave up 3 runs in 6 innings, and then Weathers and Mercker gave up 3 more to put the Reds in a hole.  When the Reds came to bat for the final time, they had a 9% chance of victory.  Then:

- Kearns singled (18%)
- Dunn homered to tie it (64%)

And finally, Joe Randa hit a game-winning solo homer off of closer Braden Looper.

3) 1975 - beat the Dodgers, 2-1.  Cincinnati was tied with Los Angeles until the 14th inning.  Both Don Gullett (9.2 IP) and Don Sutton (7) had allowed only 1 run.  As a home team in the 9th and later, win probability is 63%.  Here's what happened in the 14th against reliever Charlie Hough:

- Concepcion single (71%)
- Passed ball (81%)
- Geronimo walk
- Griffey sac bunt (84%)
- Chaney FC, Concepcion out at home (63%)

And finally, George Foster hit a 2-out single to score Geronimo.

Honorable mention:

1988 won 5-4 in 12 innings over St. Louis on Kal Daniels walkoff single with 2 outs (38% wWPA).

1943 won 1-0 in 11 innings over St. Louis.  Johnny Vander Meer pitched the complete game shutout, Max Marshall knocked in Lonny Frey for the winning run. (31% wWPA)

2002 walkoff sac fly by Aaron Boone to beat Cubs 5-4

1945 won 7-6 in 11 innings over Pittsburgh on Dain Clay walkoff single

1990 won 8-4 in 11 innings at Houston to begin a championship season

1923 won 3-2 in 11 innings over St. Louis, Pete Donohue pitched a complete game

MOST DOMINATING

1914 - Beat the Cubs, 10-1.  Rube Benton pitched a complete-game 2-hitter.

1961 - Beat the Cubs, 7-1.  Complete game for Jim O'Toole, and the Reds pounded Glen Hobbie.  Frank Robinson and Wally Post homered.

1980 - Beat the Braves, 9-0.  Complete game, 3-hit shutout for Frank Pastore.  George Foster was 3 for 5 with 1 HR and 4 RBI.  The Reds chased Phil Niekro after 2 innings.

1984 - Beat the Mets, 8-1.  Complete game for Mario Soto, 3 RBI for Eddie Milner.  They knocked Mike Torrez out after 1.1 innings.

2012 - Beat the Marlins, 4-0.  7 shutout innings from Johnny Cueto, and the Reds did just enough against Mark Buehrle (2 runs) and Edward Mujica (2 more).

Thanks to baseball-reference.com, which I used as my primary resource, as usual.