Mr. Redlegs is watching you. Always.

Saturday, July 30, 2016

Reds could win a 5th straight series this weekend, which is rarer than you think

And no, I'm not trying to be snarky about the Reds' lack of quality since 2013.  Rarely do you see long streaks of series victories or losses, for any MLB team.

There are exceptions, of course.  The 2001 Seattle Mariners won:
- 9 straight series to open the season with a record of 22-6
- 7 straight from May to June, including a 14-game winning streak
- an insane 14 series in a row from July to September, improving their record from 74-29 to 106-41

The craziest thing about that last streak?  It only improved their winning percentage from .718 to .723!  Unreal.

But getting back to the Reds...

If the Reds manage 1 win on Saturday or Sunday in San Diego, they'll reach 5 straight series victories.  That would tie the following streaks in recent history:

April 2006 - won 5 in a row
September 2008 - won 5 in a row
May 2010 - won 5 in a row
June/July 2010 - won 5 in a row
July/August 2010 - won 5 in a row
May 2011 - won 5 in a row
July 2012 - won 5 in a row
June 2014 - won 5 in a row

To find a streak of series wins LONGER than 5, you have to go back to 1999.  Those exciting (even if ill-fated) Reds won 9 series in a row in July and August.


What about losses?  During that same time period, here are the Reds' series LOSS streaks of 5 or more:

May 2001 - lost 5 in a row
July 2001 - lost 6 in a row
April/May 2005 - lost 6 in a row
May 2007 - lost 8 in a row
June 2007 - lost 6 in a row
July/August 2008 - lost 5 in a row
July/August 2009 - lost 5 in a row
August 2015 - lost 7 in a row

Not any more common than the series winning streaks, but some of them lasted a bit longer.

So, to summarize, the Reds could actually have their longest series winning streak in 17 years if they just win ONE more this weekend (should happen), and somehow take 2 of 3 against St. Louis at GABP (the much more difficult part of this equation).  As unfortunate - if unsurprising - as this season's results have been, they could still accomplish something impressive.


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